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Home Hradec Králové — Baník Ostrava

Match Hradec Králové vs Baník Ostrava August 9, 2026 — Result and Stats

—   /   Czech Liga Value pick inside
Hradec Králové
Hradec Králové
Home · last 5 D W L L W
Kick-off
Sun 09 Aug · 15:00
2:1
Full-time
Baník Ostrava
Baník Ostrava
L L W W L Away · last 5
Malsovicka arena · Hradec Kralove Referee Kubecka Matej, Czechia
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 53% · book 2.09
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 46% · book 2.10
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 54% · book 1.73
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
2.38 – 0.80
Δ +1.58
Possession
58% – 42%
AI accuracy
3 / 7
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.09 — +11.2% better than the market.

Hradec Králové shows strong home momentum with perfect recent form, contrasting with Baník Ostrava's mixed away results. The home side's slightly better recent points per game and a modest edge in expected goals hint at a controlled pace favoring Hradec's compact block and set-piece threat. Baník's resilience could limit scoring chances, suggesting a tactical battle with a pressing edge for the hosts.

  • Home momentum and form advantage
  • Modest expected goals gap
  • Compact defensive setup vs pressing

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 2.09 ✗ Lost
AI 53% Implied 48% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

HRA 21 OST
58%
Possession (%)
42%
2.38
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.80
16
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
4
11
Shots off Target
4
13
Shots Inside Box
5
3
Corner Kicks
2
3
Offsides
2
7
Fouls
6
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
1
Yellow Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

Hradec Králové beat Baník Ostrava 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 58% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.38 to 0.80. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 12, 4 on target.

Model audit for this match: of 7 graded markets, 3 landed and 4 missed, for a net -1.90 units (Brier 0.197).

Bet recap · markets settled

7 · 3 W · 4 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.09 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.10 46% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.73 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.70 47% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.30 72% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Away Win 3.47 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.40 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 7 markets @ 1u each 3 W · 4 L −1.90u −27% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS No
HRA – OST @ 2.09
+11.2%
Edge
Forecast →