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Home › Italy › Serie A › AC Milan — Fiorentina

Predictions by Market: AC Milan vs Fiorentina

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
AC Milan
AC Milan
Home · last 5 D L L W L
Kick-off
Sun 19 Oct · 18:45
2:1
Full-time
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
D L D W D Away · last 5
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza · Milan Referee Livio Marinelli, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MIL
67%
Best 1.70
Draw
22%
Best 3.67
Away Win · FIO
11%
Best 5.28
Value pick
Home Win
@ 1.59
Fair odds
1.49
book 1.59 · +6.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
—
p 67% · EV +6.9%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 67.2%
Odds 1.59
Show model details
Implied probability 62.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 22%
Odds 4.35
Show model details
Implied probability 23%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 10.8%
Odds 6.80
Show model details
Implied probability 14.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 52%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 72.9%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 93%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 26.2%
Odds 3.90
Show model details
Implied probability 25.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7%
Odds 12.80
Show model details
Implied probability 7.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 73.8%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 48%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 27.1%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 49.2%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 67.2%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 10.8%
Odds 4.75
Show model details
Implied probability 21.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 89.2%
Odds 1.15
Show model details
Implied probability 87%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 32.8%
Odds 2.56
Show model details
Implied probability 39.1%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
MIL – FIO @ 1.59
+6.9%
Edge
Forecast →