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Home › Italy › Serie A › Atalanta — Lazio

Predictions by Market: Atalanta vs Lazio

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Atalanta
Atalanta
Home · last 5 L D W L D
Kick-off
Sun 19 Oct · 16:00
0:0
Full-time
Lazio
Lazio
D W L L W Away · last 5
New Balance Arena · Bergamo Referee Giuseppe Collu, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ATA
62%
Best 1.85
Draw
23%
Best 3.70
Away Win · LAZ
15%
Best 4.35
Value pick
Home Win
@ 1.81
Fair odds
1.61
book 1.81 · +12.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
—
p 62% · EV +12.4%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 62.1%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality High
✓ Draw
Probability 22.8%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 15.1%
Odds 4.95
Show model details
Implied probability 20.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 53.7%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 78.4%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 32.2%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 94.9%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5.1%
Odds 13.90
Show model details
Implied probability 7.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 21.6%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 46.3%
Odds 2.07
Show model details
Implied probability 48.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 67.8%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 55.1%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 44.9%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 62.1%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 15.1%
Odds 3.61
Show model details
Implied probability 27.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 84.9%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 37.9%
Odds 2.23
Show model details
Implied probability 44.8%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
ATA – LAZ @ 1.81
+12.4%
Edge
Forecast →