P
Prognosist
P
Home › Switzerland › Super League › FC Luzern — FC Basel 1893

Predictions by Market: FC Luzern vs FC Basel 1893

Switzerland   /   Super League Value pick inside
FC Luzern
FC Luzern
Home · last 5 W D L W L
Kick-off
Sun 13 Sep · 14:30
2:4
Full-time
FC Basel 1893
FC Basel 1893
D L L W L Away · last 5
Swissporarena · Lucerne

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LUZ
45%
Best 2.10
Draw
23%
Best 4.00
Away Win · BAS
32%
Best 3.20
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 3.10
Fair odds
2.86
book 3.10 · +8.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Medium
p 35% · EV +8.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (65%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 45.3%
Odds 2.06
Show model details
Implied probability 48.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 31.7%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 23%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 4 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 56.4%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 43.6%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 35%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5 Best in group
Probability 65%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 33.8%
Odds 3.04
Show model details
Implied probability 32.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 66.2%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 54.7%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 68.3%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
LUZ – BAS @ 3.10
+8.5%
Edge
Forecast →