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Home › Switzerland › Super League › FC Luzern — FC Basel 1893

FC Luzern vs FC Basel 1893 2:4: Match Review & Stats

Switzerland   /   Super League Value pick inside
FC Luzern
FC Luzern
Home · last 5 W D L W L
Kick-off
Sun 13 Sep · 14:30
2:4
Full-time
FC Basel 1893
FC Basel 1893
D L L W L Away · last 5
Swissporarena · Lucerne
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 56% · book 1.85 ✗
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 55% · book 1.73 ✓
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 45% · book 2.06 ✗
Total goals
6
2 · 4
Possession
46% – 54%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 3.10 — +8.5% better than the market.

FC Luzern shows solid home momentum with a steady run of draws and wins, holding a clear form edge over FC Basel 1893. Luzern's compact block and disciplined defense could frustrate Basel, who have struggled away but gained confidence from recent wins. The match hints at a balanced tempo with moderate scoring chances expected.

  • Luzern's home resilience and form advantage
  • Basel's recent away improvement but overall inconsistency
  • Likely tactical caution leading to under 3.5 goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 3.10 ✗ Lost
AI 35% Implied 32% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

LUZ 2 – 4 BAS
46%
Possession (%)
54%
19
Total Shots
17
3
Shots on Target
6
6
Shots off Target
6
12
Shots Inside Box
12
6
Corner Kicks
3
3
Offsides
2
13
Fouls
14
1
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match recap

FC Basel 1893 won 4–2 away at FC Luzern. At half-time it was 1–2.

From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -1.63 units (Brier 0.228).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.85 — 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.73 — 55% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
Home Win 2.06 — 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 1.92 — 44% Cashed +0.92 Cashed
Under 2.5 3.10 — 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.40 — 68% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 3.04 — 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.00 — 32% Cashed +2.00 Cashed
Draw 4.10 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.36 — 66% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.36 — 65% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −1.63u −15% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
LUZ – BAS @ 3.10
+8.5%
Edge
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