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Home › Italy › Serie A › Lazio — Torino

Predictions by Market: Lazio vs Torino

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Lazio
Lazio
Home · last 5 D W L L W
Kick-off
Sat 04 Oct · 13:00
3:3
Full-time
Torino
Torino
D L W L D Away · last 5
Referee Marco Piccinini, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LAZ
54%
Best 1.88
Draw
26%
Best 3.30
Away Win · TOR
20%
Best 4.60
Value pick
Away Win
@ 5.59
Fair odds
5.00
book 5.59 · +11.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 20% · EV +11.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (54%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win
Probability 20%
Odds 5.59
Show model details
Implied probability 17.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 26%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 54%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 2 markets
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 30%
Odds 3.35
Show model details
Implied probability 29.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5 Best in group
Probability 53%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 1 market
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 54%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 54.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 1 market
✓ Double Chance X2 Best in group
Probability 46%
Odds 2.19
Show model details
Implied probability 45.7%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
LAZ – TOR @ 5.59
+11.8%
Edge
Forecast →