Lazio vs Torino 3:3 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 5.59 — +11.8% better than the market.

Lazio vs Torino: Lazio carry the home edge and the more stable attacking shape, while Torino’s recent output and defensive leaks limit their ceiling. Expect a controlled pace with the draw still in play if Lazio don’t land the first punch early. Our numbers tilt toward conservative cores (unders/BTTS No) with a small long-shot path on the away price.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 5.59 ✗ Lost

AI 20% Implied 18% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

LAZ 4-2-3-1 · TOR 3-5-2

LAZ · 4-2-3-1 3-5-2 · TOR

11 Castellanos

Subs used · LAZ

67'

Belahyane ↑ ·

Basic ↓

67'

Isaksen ↑ ·

Pedro ↓

81'

Noslin ↑ ·

Dia ↓

90'

Lazzari ↑ ·

Tavares ↓

Subs used · TOR

63'

Nkounkou ↑ ·

Lazaro ↓

70'

Masina ↑ ·

Tameze ↓

70'

Adams ↑ ·

Vlasic ↓

79'

Dembele ↑ ·

Pedersen ↓

79'

Gineitis ↑ ·

Simeone ↓

Statistics

LAZ 3 – 3 TOR

49%

Possession (%)

51%

1.38

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.92

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

21 · 3 – 3

16'

⚽

G. Simeone

0–1

M. Cancellieri

Assist · Pedro · 1–1

⚽

24'

32'

▮

Kristjan Asllani

Yellow Card

M. Cancellieri

Assist · T. Basic · 2–1

⚽

40'

Half-time · 2 – 1

Alessio Romagnoli

Yellow Card

▮

47'

60'

▮

Cesare Casadei

Yellow Card

63'

⇄

N. Nkounkou ↓ · V. Lazaro ↑

Substitution 1

R. Belahyane ↓ · T. Basic ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

67'

G. Isaksen ↓ · Pedro ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

67'

70'

⇄

A. Masina ↓ · A. Tameze ↑

Substitution 2

70'

⇄

C. Adams ↓ · N. Vlasic ↑

Substitution 3

73'

⚽

C. Adams

Assist · N. Nkounkou · 2–2

79'

⇄

A. Dembele ↓ · M. Pedersen ↑

Substitution 4

79'

⇄

G. Gineitis ↓ · G. Simeone ↑

Substitution 5

T. Noslin ↓ · B. Dia ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

81'

Danilo Cataldi

Yellow Card

▮

87'

M. Lazzari ↓ · N. Tavares ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

90'

⚽

S. Coco

Assist · A. Masina · 2–3

D. Cataldi (P)

Penalty · 3–3

⚽

90'

Valentín Castellanos

Yellow Card

▮

90+6'

90+12'

▮

Guillermo Maripán

Yellow Card

Full-time · 3 – 3

Match recap

Lazio and Torino drew 3–3. At half-time it was 2–1.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.92 to 1.38. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 9, 8 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 3 from 1.38 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: G. Simeone (16'), M. Cancellieri (24'), M. Cancellieri (40'), C. Adams (73'), S. Coco (90'), D. Cataldi (90').

Model audit for this match: of 7 graded markets, 2 landed and 5 missed, for a net -1.01 units (Brier 0.262).

Bet recap · markets settled

7 · 2 W · 5 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.82	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	5.59	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.19	—	46%	Cashed	+1.19	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.35	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.80	—	26%	Cashed	+2.80	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.84	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.78	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 7 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	2 W · 5 L	−1.01u	−14% ROI

Lazio vs Torino 3:3: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled