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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A Atalanta — Como

Match Atalanta vs Como October 4, 2025

Italy   /   Serie A
Atalanta
Atalanta
Home · last 5 L D W L D
Kick-off
Sat 04 Oct · 18:45
1:1
Full-time
Como
Como
W D W W W Away · last 5
New Balance Arena · Bergamo Referee Luca Zufferli, Italy
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 47% · book 2.26
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 55% · book 1.87
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 27% · book 3.54
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
1.40 – 1.32
Δ +0.08
Possession
51% – 49%
AI accuracy
4 / 7
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Atalanta vs Como: the hosts rate clearly stronger on overall level and recent output, with home edge pointing to longer spells of pressure. Como can counter and create in transition, but sustained control should tilt toward Atalanta. The market sits close on totals; our lean is a mildly open game where the home side’s chance volume nudges the number over the key threshold.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

ATA 3-4-2-1 · COM 4-2-3-1
Subs used · ATA
62' Brescianini ↑ · Samardzic
73' Krstovic ↑ · Lookman
74' Musah ↑ · Ederson
74' Maldini ↑ · Sulemana
Subs used · COM
46' Morata ↑ · Douvikas
68' Valle ↑ · Vojvoda
69' Caqueret ↑ · Baturina
85' Posch ↑ · Smolcic
89' O. Kempf ↑ · Da Cunha

📊 Statistics

ATA 11 COM
51%
Possession (%)
49%
1.40
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.32
16
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Shots off Target
4
8
Shots Inside Box
8
8
Corner Kicks
3
2
Offsides
1
10
Fouls
19
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
1
Yellow Cards
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

15 · 1 – 1
L. Samardzic
1–0
6'
19'
M. Perrone
1–1
Half-time · 1 – 1
46'
A. Morata ↓ · A. Douvikas ↑
Substitution 1
Berat Djimsiti
Yellow Card
58'
M. Brescianini ↓ · L. Samardzic ↑
Substitution 1
62'
68'
A. Valle ↓ · M. Vojvoda ↑
Substitution 2
69'
M. Caqueret ↓ · M. Baturina ↑
Substitution 3
N. Krstovic ↓ · A. Lookman ↑
Substitution 2
73'
Y. Musah ↓ · Ederson ↑
Substitution 3
74'
D. Maldini ↓ · K. Sulemana ↑
Substitution 4
74'
83'
Diego Carlos
Yellow Card
84'
Ivan Smolčić
Yellow Card
85'
S. Posch ↓ · I. Smolcic ↑
Substitution 4
88'
Jayden Addai
Yellow Card
89'
M. O. Kempf ↓ · L. Da Cunha ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 1 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

7 · 4 W · 3 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.26 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.87 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.54 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.52 26% Cashed +2.52 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.68 56% Cashed +0.68 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.42 71% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.36 75% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Total · 7 markets @ 1u each 4 W · 3 L +0.98u +14% ROI