P
Prognosist
P
Home › Italy › Serie A › Parma — Lecce

Predictions by Market: Parma vs Lecce

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Parma
Parma
Home · last 5 W L L L W
Kick-off
Sat 04 Oct · 13:00
0:1
Full-time
Lecce
Lecce
D W L W W Away · last 5
Stadio Ennio Tardini · Parma Referee Daniele Doveri, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · PAR
49%
Best 1.97
Draw
28%
Best 3.36
Away Win · LEC
24%
Best 4.20
Value pick
Away Win
@ 4.74
Fair odds
4.26
book 4.74 · +11.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 24% · EV +11.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (49%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 27.5%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 23.5%
Odds 4.74
Show model details
Implied probability 21.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 49%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 2 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 58%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5 Best in group
Probability 78%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 1 market
✓ BTTS No Top pick
Probability 57%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Medium
Other Markets 1 market
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 51%
Odds 2.12
Show model details
Implied probability 47.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
PAR – LEC @ 4.74
+11.4%
Edge
Forecast →