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Predictions AC Milan vs Napoli September 28, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A
AC Milan
AC Milan
Home · last 5 D L L W L
Kick-off
Sun 28 Sep · 18:45
2:1
Full-time
Napoli
Napoli
W D L W W Away · last 5
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza · Milano Referee Daniele Chiffi, Italy
Home Win · MIL
40%
Best 1.91
Draw
27%
Best 3.45
Away Win · NAP
34%
Best 4.20
Value pick
Over 2.5
@ 2.28
Fair odds
2.00
book 2.28 · +14.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
p 50% · EV +14.0%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 39.5%
Odds 2.53
Show model details
Implied probability 39.5%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 27%
Odds 3.32
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Implied probability 30.1%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 33.5%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Medium
Totals 1 market
Over 2.5 Top pick
Probability 50%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 43.9%
Bet quality Medium
Team Totals 2 markets
Home Team Total Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 75%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Medium
Away Team Total Over 0.5
Probability 70%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS 1 market
BTTS Yes Value pick
Probability 65%
Odds 1.91
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Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality High
Asian Handicap 1 market
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 55%
Odds 1.78
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Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Medium
Other Markets 1 market
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 65%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.