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Home › Austria › Bundesliga › Ried — Red Bull Salzburg

Ried vs Red Bull Salzburg 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Austria   /   Bundesliga Value pick inside
Ried
Ried
Home · last 5 W L D W W
Kick-off
Fri 11 Sep · 17:30
1:1
Full-time
Red Bull Salzburg
Red Bull Salzburg
W W D W D Away · last 5
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 58% · book 2.13 ✗
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 47% · book 2.25 ✓
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 53% · book 1.65 ✗
Total goals
2
1 · 1
Possession
32% – 68%
AI accuracy
6 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 4.78 — +14.8% better than the market.

Ried hosts Red Bull Salzburg in a clash where Salzburg's recent winning streak contrasts with Ried's mixed form. Salzburg's attacking prowess and higher expected goals suggest they hold the upper hand, but Ried's home momentum and resilience could keep the game competitive. The match hints at an open, high-tempo encounter with both sides likely to find scoring chances.

  • Salzburg's strong offensive output challenges Ried's defense.
  • Ried's home form shows fighting spirit despite inconsistency.
  • Odds favor goals, indicating a lively pace and goal-rich environment.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 4.78 ✗ Lost
AI 24% Implied 21% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

RIE 1 – 1 SAL
32%
Possession (%)
68%
8
Total Shots
24
2
Shots on Target
6
3
Shots off Target
13
6
Shots Inside Box
14
5
Corner Kicks
7
0
Offsides
2
8
Fouls
6
2
Yellow Cards
3
5
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match recap

Ried and Red Bull Salzburg drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 68% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 24 shots to 8, 6 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 6 landed and 5 missed, for a net +2.60 units (Brier 0.298).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 6 W · 5 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 2.13 — 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 2.25 — 47% Cashed +1.25 Cashed
Away Win 1.65 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.62 — 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.80 — 42% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.43 — 77% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.49 — 71% Cashed +0.49 Cashed
Home Win 4.78 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.18 — 76% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.88 — 23% Cashed +1.88 Cashed
Draw 4.00 — 23% Cashed +3.00 Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 6 W · 5 L +2.60u +24% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
RIE – SAL @ 4.78
+14.8%
Edge
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