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Home › Austria › Bundesliga › Sturm Graz — Lask Linz

Sturm Graz vs Lask Linz 2:1: Match Review & Stats

Austria   /   Bundesliga Value pick inside
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
Home · last 5 D L W L W
Kick-off
Sun 13 Sep · 15:00
2:1
Full-time
Lask Linz
Lask Linz
W W W L D Away · last 5
Stadion Graz-Liebenau · Graz
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 52% · book 2.38 ✗
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 59% · book 1.63 ✓
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 41% · book 2.21 ✗
Total goals
3
2 · 1
Possession
35% – 65%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.57 — +10.6% better than the market.

Sturm Graz hosts Lask Linz in a Bundesliga clash where recent form favors the visitors, who boast an impressive winning streak. Despite Sturm Graz's solid home momentum, Lask Linz's attacking prowess and higher scoring expectation suggest a lively encounter. The match hints at a fast pace with over 2.5 goals likely, supported by both sides' offensive capabilities and previous high-scoring meetings.

  • Sturm Graz's home resilience vs Lask Linz's sharp attack
  • Visitors' strong recent form and scoring threat
  • Potential for open play and multiple goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5
Over 2.5 @ 1.57 ✓ Cashed
AI 70% Implied 64% +0.57u
+57%
ROI on stake

Statistics

STU 2 – 1 LAS
35%
Possession (%)
65%
14
Total Shots
26
7
Shots on Target
4
5
Shots off Target
16
12
Shots Inside Box
15
3
Corner Kicks
6
2
Offsides
0
12
Fouls
7
3
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match recap

Sturm Graz beat Lask Linz 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 65% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 26 shots to 14, 4 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -1.74 units (Brier 0.196).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 2.38 — 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.63 — 59% Cashed +0.63 Cashed
Away Win 2.21 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.60 — 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.60 — 48% Cashed +0.60 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.35 — 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.57 — 70% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.50 — 70% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Home Win 2.96 — 34% Cashed +1.96 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.37 — 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.62 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −1.74u −16% ROI
Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
STU – LAS @ 1.57
+10.6%
Edge
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