Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz 3:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.62 — +13.6% better than the market.

Rapid Vienna shows strong home momentum with a perfect recent record, contrasting with Sturm Graz's more mixed form. The home side's attacking edge and higher expected goals hint at a lively match with chances at both ends. Expect Rapid's pressing and set-piece threat to challenge Sturm's defense, while the visitors' resilience could keep the scoreline close.

Rapid's home confidence and attacking intent
Sturm's solid defensive moments and counter opportunities
Likely open game with goal-scoring chances for both

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5

Over 2.5 @ 1.62 ✓ Cashed

AI 70% Implied 62% +0.62u

+62%

ROI on stake

Lineups

RAP 4-2-3-1 · STU 4-2-3-1

RAP · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · STU

8 Adamsen

Statistics

RAP 3 – 1 STU

56%

Possession (%)

44%

2.01

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.72

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

77%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Rapid Vienna beat Sturm Graz 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 56% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.01 to 0.72. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -1.75 units (Brier 0.151).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 3.5	2.50	—	50%	Cashed	+1.50	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.62	—	70%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
Home Win	2.20	—	46%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.67	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.40	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.27	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.53	—	71%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.40	—	70%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Away Win	3.00	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.50	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.80	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	−1.75u	−16% ROI

Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz 3:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled