Match Sturm Graz vs Austria Lustenau August 22, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.42 — +4.8% better than the market.

Sturm Graz enters this clash with clear home momentum, boasting a strong recent run and superior points per game. Their attacking threat is evident, likely to challenge Austria Lustenau's defense, which has shown vulnerabilities. Meanwhile, Lustenau's away form is patchy, and their offensive output may struggle against a compact home block. The match hints at a moderate tempo with a balanced goal environment, favoring a controlled game where Sturm Graz holds the edge.

Home side's consistent form and scoring potential
Away team's defensive frailties under pressure
Moderate pace suggesting tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.42 ✓ Cashed

AI 43% Implied 41% +1.42u

+142%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

STU 4-4-2 · LUS 4-1-4-1

STU · 4-4-2 4-1-4-1 · LUS

20 Jatta

📊 Statistics

STU 1 – 1 LUS

64%

Possession (%)

36%

1.67

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.73

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

71%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Sturm Graz and Austria Lustenau drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 64% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 82% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.67 to 0.73. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 12, 6 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 6 landed and 5 missed, for a net +4.56 units (Brier 0.263).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 6 W · 5 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.42	—	43%	Cashed	+1.42	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.61	—	64%	Cashed	+0.61	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.80	—	53%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
BTTS No	2.00	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.27	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	8.50	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	3.40	—	35%	Cashed	+2.40	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.08	—	85%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Home Win	1.33	—	65%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.53	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	5.25	—	19%	Cashed	+4.25	Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	6 W · 5 L	+4.56u	+41% ROI

Match Sturm Graz vs Austria Lustenau August 22, 2026 — Result and Stats

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.42 — +4.8% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled