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Home › Austria › Bundesliga › Ried — Grazer AK

Predictions by Market: Ried vs Grazer AK

Austria   /   Bundesliga Value pick inside
Ried
Ried
Home · last 5 W L D W W
Kick-off
Fri 21 Aug · 17:30
1:0
Full-time
Grazer AK
Grazer AK
L D W D D Away · last 5
Referee D. Pfister

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · RIE
45%
Best 1.94
Draw
26%
Best 3.52
Away Win · GRA
29%
Best 4.00
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.70
Fair odds
3.42
book 3.70 · +8.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Medium
p 29% · EV +8.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (45%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 44.5%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 29.3%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 26.2%
Odds 3.48
Show model details
Implied probability 28.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 4 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 54.2%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 45.8%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5 Best in group
Probability 74.6%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 25.5%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 49.7%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 50.3%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 55.5%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 70.7%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
RIE – GRA @ 3.70
+8.3%
Edge
Forecast →