Match Ried vs Grazer AK August 21, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 3.70 — +8.3% better than the market.

Ried faces Grazer AK with both sides struggling for form recently, but Grazer AK shows a slight edge in recent points and expected goals. The home side’s lack of momentum and defensive frailties could be exploited by Grazer’s sharper attack. Expect a cautious game with a modest tempo, leaning towards a tight scoreline given both teams’ recent low-scoring trends.

Grazer AK’s better recent form suggests a pressing edge.
Ried’s home struggles may limit attacking threat.
Low-scoring pattern likely with compact defensive setups.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 3.70 ✗ Lost

AI 29% Implied 27% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

RIE 3-4-2-1 · GRA 3-1-4-2

RIE · 3-4-2-1 3-1-4-2 · GRA

9 Sissoko

📊 Statistics

RIE 1 – 0 GRA

46%

Possession (%)

54%

1.65

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.83

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

76%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Ried beat Grazer AK 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.65 to 0.83. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 4. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -2.48 units (Brier 0.174).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.87	—	54%	Cashed	+0.87	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.80	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.00	—	50%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
Home Win	2.03	—	45%	Cashed	+1.03	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.95	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.75	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.70	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.29	—	71%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.33	—	75%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Draw	3.48	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.25	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	−2.48u	−23% ROI