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Home Austria Bundesliga WSG Wattens — Sturm Graz

Predictions WSG Wattens vs Sturm Graz August 1, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Austria   /   Bundesliga Value pick inside
WSG Wattens
WSG Wattens
Home · last 5 D L L
Kick-off
Sat 01 Aug · 15:00
1:1
Full-time
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
D W W D Away · last 5
Tivoli Stadion Tirol · Innsbruck Referee S. Ebner
Home Win · WAT
29%
Best 3.75
Draw
25%
Best 3.60
Away Win · STU
46%
Best 2.00
Value pick
Home Win
@ 3.78
Fair odds
3.42
book 3.78 · +10.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
Pick confidence
Low
p 29% · EV +10.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (46%), but Home Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 45.9%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 29.2%
Odds 3.78
Show model details
Implied probability 26.5%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 24.9%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Low
Totals 4 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 54.5%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 45.6%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 33.7%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5 Best in group
Probability 66.3%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 56.3%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 43.7%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Best in group
Probability 70.8%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
WAT – STU @ 3.78
+10.5%
Edge
Forecast →