Match WSG Wattens vs Sturm Graz August 1, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 3.78 — +10.5% better than the market.

This Bundesliga opener at Tivoli Stadion Tirol lacks extensive recent data, making firm conclusions tricky. Early signs suggest a balanced contest with a slight leaning towards a cautious pace, as odds hint at a moderate goal environment. Home advantage might offer WSG Wattens some edge, but Sturm Graz’s experience could neutralize it.

Home side's familiarity with the pitch may boost confidence.
Both teams likely to adopt compact defensive setups initially.
Moderate tempo expected, limiting open-play chances.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 3.78 ✗ Lost

AI 29% Implied 26% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

WAT 3-4-2-1 · STU 3-4-2-1

WAT · 3-4-2-1 3-4-2-1 · STU

17 Olakigbe

32 Gschösser

16 Hinterseer

📊 Statistics

WAT 1 – 1 STU

42%

Possession (%)

58%

0.60

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.13

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

68%

Pass Accuracy (%)

73%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

WSG Wattens and Sturm Graz drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 58% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.13 to 0.60. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 8, 6 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 1. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 6 landed and 5 missed, for a net +1.01 units (Brier 0.214).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 6 W · 5 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X	1.91	—	54%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.74	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.08	—	46%	Cashed	+1.08	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.67	—	56%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
BTTS No	2.15	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.75	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	1.91	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.40	—	66%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Home Win	3.78	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.70	—	25%	Cashed	+2.70	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.25	—	71%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	6 W · 5 L	+1.01u	+9% ROI