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Home › Denmark › Superliga › AC Horsens — Aarhus

AC Horsens vs Aarhus 2:2: Match Review & Stats

Denmark   /   Superliga Value pick inside
AC Horsens
AC Horsens
Home · last 5 W L W L D
Kick-off
Sun 20 Sep · 14:00
2:2
Full-time
Aarhus
Aarhus
L L D L D Away · last 5
CASA Arena · Horsens Referee Jonas Hansen
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 53% · book 2.05 ✗
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 57% · book 1.91 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 48% · book 2.20 ✗
Total goals
4
2 · 2
Possession
53% – 47%
AI accuracy
6 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.05 — +8.5% better than the market.

AC Horsens holds a clear quality edge and home momentum after recent wins, contrasting with Aarhus' struggles and low form. Horsens' defensive solidity should counter Aarhus' slightly stronger attack, suggesting a tactical battle leaning towards a controlled pace. The home side's pressing edge and compact block could limit Aarhus' chances, favoring a tight contest with fewer goals.

  • Home defensive resilience vs away attacking threat
  • Recent form favors AC Horsens
  • Moderate tempo hints at under 2.5 goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.05 ✗ Lost
AI 53% Implied 49% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

HOR 2 – 2 AAR
53%
Possession (%)
47%
20
Total Shots
14
5
Shots on Target
3
9
Shots off Target
9
10
Shots Inside Box
9
3
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
0
17
Fouls
6
2
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match recap

AC Horsens and Aarhus drew 2–2. At half-time it was 0–0.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 14, 5 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 6 landed and 5 missed, for a net +2.14 units (Brier 0.297).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 6 W · 5 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.05 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.91 — 57% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
BTTS No 2.20 — 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.70 — 52% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.75 — 47% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
Away Win 1.85 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.75 — 27% Cashed +1.75 Cashed
Home Win 3.90 — 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.40 — 73% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.28 — 67% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Draw 3.75 — 24% Cashed +2.75 Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 6 W · 5 L +2.14u +19% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
HOR – AAR @ 2.05
+8.5%
Edge
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