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Sonderjyske vs Randers FC 4:2: Match Review & Stats

Denmark   /   Superliga Value pick inside
Sonderjyske
Sonderjyske
Home · last 5 L L L D W
Kick-off
Sun 20 Sep · 12:00
4:2
Full-time
Randers FC
Randers FC
L W W L L Away · last 5
Haderslev Fodbold Stadion · Hadeslev Referee Jens Maae
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 52% · book 2.28 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 55% · book 2.10 ✗
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 51% · book 2.25 ✗
Total goals
6
4 · 2
Possession
39% – 61%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.10 — +14.9% better than the market.

Randers FC holds a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they can control the game despite playing away. Sonderjyske’s defensive solidity might limit chances, but their offensive struggles and home momentum are weak. Expect a tactical battle with Randers pressing higher and Sonderjyske relying on a compact block.

  • Randers’ defensive resilience vs Sonderjyske’s modest attack
  • Home side’s poor form dampens momentum
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.10 ✗ Lost
AI 55% Implied 48% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

SON 4 – 2 RAN
39%
Possession (%)
61%
10
Total Shots
14
7
Shots on Target
6
2
Shots off Target
5
6
Shots Inside Box
9
5
Corner Kicks
4
2
Offsides
1
15
Fouls
7
3
Yellow Cards
0
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match recap

Sonderjyske beat Randers FC 4–2 at home. At half-time it was 2–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 61% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 10, 6 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -0.44 units (Brier 0.362).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.28 — 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.10 — 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.25 — 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.62 — 49% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.62 — 48% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.70 — 45% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.62 — 25% Cashed +1.62 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.44 — 75% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.40 — 76% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.00 — 24% Cashed +2.00 Cashed
Draw 3.60 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −0.44u −4% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
SON – RAN @ 2.10
+14.9%
Edge
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