P
Prognosist
P
Home › Denmark › Superliga › FC Nordsjaelland — Aarhus

FC Nordsjaelland vs Aarhus 2:0: Match Review & Stats

Denmark   /   Superliga Value pick inside
FC Nordsjaelland
FC Nordsjaelland
Home · last 5 L D W L D
Kick-off
Sun 13 Sep · 16:00
2:0
Full-time
Aarhus
Aarhus
L L D L D Away · last 5
Right to Dream Park · Farum
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 51% · book 2.25 ✗
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 51% · book 1.85 ✓
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 49% · book 1.92 ✗
Total goals
2
2 · 0
Possession
53% – 47%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.53 — +7.5% better than the market.

FC Nordsjaelland arrives with strong home momentum, having won three of their last five and maintaining a high points-per-game rate. Their attacking threat is evident, supported by a solid xG advantage over Aarhus. The visitors struggle for consistency and have shown defensive vulnerabilities, which Nordsjaelland can exploit at Right to Dream Park. Expect a lively pace with chances at both ends, as recent head-to-heads suggest a competitive but open encounter.

  • Home side's recent form and scoring edge
  • Aarhus' defensive lapses and away struggles
  • Potential for goals given attacking tendencies and odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5
Over 2.5 @ 1.53 ✗ Lost
AI 70% Implied 65% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

NOR 2 – 0 AAR
53%
Possession (%)
47%
19
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Target
2
5
Shots off Target
6
14
Shots Inside Box
8
2
Corner Kicks
4
2
Offsides
0
15
Fouls
7
2
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match recap

FC Nordsjaelland beat Aarhus 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 12, 3 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -1.27 units (Brier 0.281).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 2.25 — 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.85 — 51% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.92 — 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.50 — 32% Cashed +1.50 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.62 — 49% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.40 — 30% Cashed +1.40 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.53 — 70% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.53 — 68% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.36 — 75% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Away Win 3.82 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.00 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −1.27u −12% ROI
Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
NOR – AAR @ 1.53
+7.5%
Edge
Forecast →