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Home › Denmark › Superliga › FC Copenhagen — Sonderjyske

FC Copenhagen vs Sonderjyske 3:1: Match Review & Stats

Denmark   /   Superliga Value pick inside
FC Copenhagen
FC Copenhagen
Home · last 5 W W W W W
Kick-off
Mon 31 Aug · 17:00
3:1
Full-time
Sonderjyske
Sonderjyske
L L L D W Away · last 5
Referee J. Hansen
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 64% · book 1.73 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 47% · book 2.20 ✗
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 53% · book 1.67 ✓
Total goals
4
3 · 1
xG (open play)
2.43 – 0.76
Δ +1.67
Possession
59% – 41%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.73 — +10.9% better than the market.

FC Copenhagen carry clear home momentum with recent wins contrasting Sonderjyske's struggles. The hosts' sharper attack and stronger form suggest they can control the game tempo and create key chances. Sonderjyske's defensive vulnerabilities and poor away form add to their uphill task.

  • Home side's pressing edge likely to unsettle visitors
  • Compact block and quick transitions favor Copenhagen
  • Moderate pace expected, leaning towards a controlled but decisive match

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.73 ✗ Lost
AI 64% Implied 58% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

COP 3 – 1 SON
59%
Possession (%)
41%
2.43
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.76
25
Total Shots
11
8
Shots on Target
2
11
Shots off Target
6
13
Shots Inside Box
6
7
Corner Kicks
3
0
Offsides
1
6
Fouls
10
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
1
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match recap

FC Copenhagen beat Sonderjyske 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 59% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.43 to 0.76. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 25 shots to 11, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -3.31 units (Brier 0.180).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.73 — 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.20 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.67 — 53% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.11 — 36% Cashed +1.11 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.88 — 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.40 — 64% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Double Chance X2 3.30 — 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 7.65 — 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.10 — 84% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.41 — 58% Cashed +0.41 Cashed
Draw 5.00 — 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −3.31u −30% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 3.5
COP – SON @ 1.73
+10.9%
Edge
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