Randers FC vs Aarhus 2:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.40 — +5.6% better than the market.

Randers FC shows a slight home momentum edge with better recent form and higher points per game, suggesting they can press Aarhus effectively. However, Aarhus has been resilient defensively, and recent head-to-head results hint at a tight contest. The match may lean towards a cautious pace, with both sides likely to prioritize structure over open attacking play.

Randers' home form offers a pressing edge.
Aarhus' compact defensive block limits chances.
Moderate pace expected, favoring tactical discipline.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 2.40 ✗ Lost

AI 44% Implied 42% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

RAN 4-2-3-1 · AAR 3-4-2-1

RAN · 4-2-3-1 3-4-2-1 · AAR

77 Junker

Statistics

RAN 2 – 1 AAR

41%

Possession (%)

59%

0.84

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.69

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

77%

Pass Accuracy (%)

86%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Randers FC beat Aarhus 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 59% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 86% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.69 to 0.84. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 8, 6 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 5 to 1. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -1.43 units (Brier 0.214).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.40	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.19	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.73	—	57%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.67	—	54%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Away Win	2.11	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.62	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.16	—	33%	Cashed	+2.16	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.44	—	68%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.33	—	67%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.57	—	56%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Draw	3.70	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	−1.43u	−13% ROI

Randers FC vs Aarhus 2:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled