Match Fulham vs Nottingham Forest December 22, 2025

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.87 — +10.2% better than the market.

Fulham arrives with a clear quality edge and home momentum, boasting a stronger attack against Nottingham Forest's solid but less potent defense. Their recent form shows resilience, while Forest's inconsistency and lower overall strength suggest a challenging away trip. Expect a tactical battle where Fulham's pressing and set-piece threat could be decisive.

Home advantage with a compact defensive block
Fulham's offensive edge vs Forest's defense
Moderate pace hinted by balanced goal odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.87 ✓ Cashed

AI 59% Implied 53% +0.87u

+87%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

FUL 4-2-3-1 · NOT 4-2-3-1

FUL · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · NOT

7 Jiménez ⚽

Subs used · FUL

66'

Cairney ↑ ·

Berge ↓

78'

King ↑ ·

Kevin ↓

84'

Traore ↑ ·

Wilson ↓

85'

Kusi Asare ↑ ·

Jimenez ↓

85'

Diop ↑ ·

Smith Rowe ↓

Subs used · NOT

72'

Awoniyi ↑ ·

Jesus ↓

73'

Dominguez ↑ ·

Luiz ↓

73'

McAtee ↑ ·

Gibbs-White ↓

81'

Zinchenko ↑ ·

Savona ↓

90+2'

Kalimuendo ↑ ·

Hudson-Odoi ↓

📊 Statistics

FUL 1 – 0 NOT

49%

Possession (%)

51%

1.50

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.60

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

20 · 1 – 0

R. Jimenez (P)

Penalty · 1–0

⚽

45'

45+4'

▮

John Victor

Yellow Card

Raúl Jiménez

Yellow Card

▮

45+7'

Half-time · 1 – 0

Sander Berge

Yellow Card

▮

56'

T. Cairney ↓ · S. Berge ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

66'

70'

▮

Murillo

Yellow Card

72'

⇄

T. Awoniyi ↓ · Igor Jesus ↑

Substitution 1

73'

⇄

N. Dominguez ↓ · Douglas Luiz ↑

Substitution 2

73'

⇄

J. McAtee ↓ · M. Gibbs-White ↑

Substitution 3

Harry Wilson

Yellow Card

▮

77'

J. King ↓ · Kevin ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

78'

81'

⇄

O. Zinchenko ↓ · N. Savona ↑

Substitution 4

Jorge Cuenca

Yellow Card

▮

82'

83'

▮

Nikola Milenković

Yellow Card

A. Traore ↓ · H. Wilson ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

84'

J. Kusi Asare ↓ · R. Jimenez ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

85'

I. Diop ↓ · E. Smith Rowe ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

85'

90+2'

⇄

A. Kalimuendo ↓ · C. Hudson-Odoi ↑

Substitution 5

Joachim Andersen

Yellow Card

▮

90+4'

90+6'

▮

Nicolás Domínguez

Yellow Card

Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Fulham beat Nottingham Forest 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.50 to 0.60. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 5 to 1. For discipline, the referee produced 9 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: R. Jimenez (45').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.47 units (Brier 0.166).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.87	—	59%	Cashed	+0.87	Cashed
Home Win	2.52	—	48%	Cashed	+1.52	Cashed
BTTS No	2.06	—	54%	Cashed	+1.06	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.80	—	48%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.08	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.81	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.60	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.17	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.43	—	75%	Cashed	+0.43	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.46	—	33%	Cashed	+2.46	Cashed
Away Win	3.08	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	10.00	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.31	—	79%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.08	—	89%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Draw	3.40	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.35	—	67%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.80	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.47u	−9% ROI

Match Fulham vs Nottingham Forest December 22, 2025 — Result and Stats

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.87 — +10.2% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled