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Home › Scotland › Premiership › Heart Of Midlothian — ST Mirren

Predictions by Market: Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren

Scotland   /   Premiership Value pick inside
Heart Of Midlothian
Heart Of Midlothian
Home · last 5 W W L D W
Kick-off
Sat 10 Oct · 14:00
5:0
Full-time
ST Mirren
ST Mirren
W L L L L Away · last 5
Tynecastle Park · Edinburgh

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · HEA
66%
Best 1.45
Draw
22%
Best 5.00
Away Win · MIR
13%
Best 6.06
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.30
Fair odds
2.07
book 2.30 · +10.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Medium
p 48% · EV +10.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (52%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 65.8%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 21.6%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 12.7%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 4 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 48.2%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 51.8%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 30%
Odds 2.62
Show model details
Implied probability 38.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5 Top pick
Probability 70%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 48.7%
Odds 2.06
Show model details
Implied probability 48.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51.3%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 34.2%
Odds 2.45
Show model details
Implied probability 40.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 87.4%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
HEA – MIR @ 2.30
+10.9%
Edge
Forecast →