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Home › Scotland › Premiership › Heart Of Midlothian — ST Mirren

Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren 5:0: Match Review & Stats

Scotland   /   Premiership Value pick inside
Heart Of Midlothian
Heart Of Midlothian
Home · last 5 W W L D W
Kick-off
Sat 10 Oct · 14:00
5:0
Full-time
ST Mirren
ST Mirren
W L L L L Away · last 5
Tynecastle Park · Edinburgh
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 48% · book 2.30 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 49% · book 2.06 ✓
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 51% · book 1.70 ✗
Total goals
5
5 · 0
xG (open play)
3.51 – 0.74
Δ +2.77
Possession
49% – 51%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.30 — +10.9% better than the market.

Heart Of Midlothian arrives with clear home momentum, boasting a strong recent run and a notable quality edge over ST Mirren. Their attacking prowess is expected to challenge Mirren's defense, which has shown some vulnerability. The home side's compact block and set-piece threat could prove decisive in a match likely to stay under 3.5 goals, reflecting a balanced but controlled tempo.

  • Home attacking edge against away defense
  • Superior recent form and home confidence
  • Moderate pace suggested by goal market odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.30 ✗ Lost
AI 48% Implied 43% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

HEA 5 – 0 MIR
49%
Possession (%)
51%
3.51
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.74
18
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
1
8
Shots off Target
5
14
Shots Inside Box
4
6
Corner Kicks
2
3
Offsides
1
16
Fouls
18
2
Yellow Cards
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match recap

Heart Of Midlothian beat ST Mirren 5–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.51 to 0.74. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 8, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -2.01 units (Brier 0.208).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.30 — 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.06 — 49% Cashed +1.06 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.70 — 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.62 — 52% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.45 — 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.62 — 30% Cashed +1.62 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.50 — 70% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.55 — 66% Cashed +0.55 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.14 — 87% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
Draw 4.20 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.50 — 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −2.01u −18% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
HEA – MIR @ 2.30
+10.9%
Edge
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