ST Johnstone vs Falkirk 1:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.00 — +14.7% better than the market.

ST Johnstone shows a slight edge with better recent form and higher expected goals, suggesting home momentum could be key at McDiarmid Park. Their improved attacking output contrasts with Falkirk’s defensive struggles, hinting at a tactical advantage in pressing and chance creation.

Home side’s sharper offense vs away defense
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play
Both teams’ form indicates a tight contest with limited goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.00 ✓ Cashed

AI 57% Implied 50% +1.00u

+100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

JOH 4-2-3-1 · FAL 4-2-3-1

JOH · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · FAL

9 Fowler

Statistics

JOH 1 – 1 FAL

44%

Possession (%)

56%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

ST Johnstone and Falkirk drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 56% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 13 shots to 8, 4 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 8 to 3.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 6 landed and 5 missed, for a net +0.60 units (Brier 0.195).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 6 W · 5 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.16	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.00	—	57%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
Home Win	2.25	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.67	—	57%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.67	—	46%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.80	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.40	—	78%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Away Win	3.00	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.36	—	69%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.00	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.50	—	26%	Cashed	+2.50	Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	6 W · 5 L	+0.60u	+5% ROI

ST Johnstone vs Falkirk 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled