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Home › Scotland › Premiership › Aberdeen — ST Johnstone

Prediction: Aberdeen vs ST Johnstone, October 11

Scotland   /   Premiership Value pick inside
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
Home · last 5 L L D W D
Kick-off
Sun 11 Oct · 13:00
—:—
Pre-match · scheduled
ST Johnstone
ST Johnstone
L D W L D Away · last 5
Pittodrie Stadium · Aberdeen

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ABE
37%
Best 2.20
Draw
26%
Best 3.40
Away Win · JOH
37%
Best 3.40

Model verdict

Model leans toward Under 2.5 goals — 60% probability.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 37% ST Johnstone win
Over/Under 2.5 60% Under 2.5
BTTS 54% No
Double Chance 64% X2
  • 1X2 ST Johnstone win 37%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 60%
  • BTTS No 54%
  • Double Chance X2 64%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Aberdeen
W/D/L 1-2-2
Goals (for / against) 5 / 5
Avg goals / match 2.0
Scored in 2/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 1/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-1-1
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-1
xG (for / against) 0.45 / 1.84
ST Johnstone
W/D/L 1-2-2
Goals (for / against) 5 / 6
Avg goals / match 2.2
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-1-1
Away (W-D-L) 0-1-1
xG (for / against) 1.16 / 1.71

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1
Goals Scored
1.29
1.14
Goals Conceded
1.43
0.49
Expected Goals (xG)
0.60
2.57
Shots on Target
3.71
5.14
Corners
3.43
45.71
Possession (%)
50.14
105.50
Efficiency index
106.09
84.32
Adjusted index
96.74
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
8
OFF · home
33
67
DEF · home
75
50
OFF · away
33
42
DEF · away
67
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

Scenario insights

①
Aberdeen wins when scoring first
—
①
ST Johnstone wins when scoring first
—
⚽
Aberdeen BTTS rate · last 10
30%
⚽
ST Johnstone BTTS rate · last 7
71%
↑
Aberdeen Over 2.5 · last 10
40%
↑
ST Johnstone Over 2.5 · last 7
43%
↩
Aberdeen comeback rate · last 10
25%
↩
ST Johnstone comeback rate · last 7
0%

Goal timing

Aberdeen · last 1 at home

0–15 0%
16–30 0%
31–45 0%
46–60 0%
61–75 50%
76–90 50%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.

Top scorers

K. Nisbet
ABE · Attacker
3 G · 0.50 g/90
L. Mayo
ABE · Defender
1 G · 0.58 g/90
J. Fowler
JOH · Attacker
4 G · 0.75 g/90
K. Fotheringham
JOH · Attacker
1 G