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Home › Scotland › Premiership › Dundee — Motherwell

Predictions by Market: Dundee vs Motherwell

Scotland   /   Premiership Value pick inside
Dundee
Dundee
Home · last 5 L D L W W
Kick-off
Sat 19 Sep · 14:00
2:1
Full-time
Motherwell
Motherwell
W L L L L Away · last 5
Dens Park · Dundee

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · DUN
33%
Best 3.11
Draw
26%
Best 3.50
Away Win · MOT
41%
Best 2.25
Value pick
Home Win
@ 3.10
Fair odds
3.03
book 3.10 · +2.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Low
p 33% · EV +2.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (41%), but Home Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 41.1%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 33%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 25.9%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 4 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 47.5%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 52.5%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5 Best in group
Probability 68.9%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 31.1%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 43.4%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 56.7%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 58.9%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 67%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
DUN – MOT @ 3.10
+2.2%
Edge
Forecast →