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Home › Scotland › Premiership › Dundee — Motherwell

Dundee vs Motherwell 2:1: Match Review & Stats

Scotland   /   Premiership Value pick inside
Dundee
Dundee
Home · last 5 L D L W W
Kick-off
Sat 19 Sep · 14:00
2:1
Full-time
Motherwell
Motherwell
D W L L L Away · last 5
Dens Park · Dundee
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 59% · book 1.67 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 43% · book 2.20 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 48% · book 2.00 ✗
Total goals
3
2 · 1
Possession
39% – 61%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 3.10 — +2.2% better than the market.

Dundee and Motherwell face off in a tightly contested Premiership clash. Both sides show similar form momentum, with Motherwell slightly edging in recent points per game. The matchup hints at a balanced tactical battle, where Dundee’s home resilience meets Motherwell’s sharper attacking threat. Expect a moderate tempo game with a decent chance of goals given both teams’ tendency to find the net.

  • Home side’s compact defense vs away’s pressing edge
  • Close recent form suggests a competitive encounter
  • Moderate goal environment likely, with chances at both ends

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 3.10 ✓ Cashed
AI 33% Implied 32% +2.10u
+210%
ROI on stake

Statistics

DUN 2 – 1 MOT
39%
Possession (%)
61%
11
Total Shots
15
6
Shots on Target
4
1
Shots off Target
5
9
Shots Inside Box
10
9
Corner Kicks
9
1
Offsides
1
8
Fouls
9
1
Yellow Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match recap

Dundee beat Motherwell 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 61% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 11, 4 on target.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -1.38 units (Brier 0.211).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X 1.67 — 59% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
BTTS No 2.20 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.00 — 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.80 — 52% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.65 — 57% Cashed +0.65 Cashed
Away Win 2.22 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.10 — 33% Cashed +2.10 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.40 — 69% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.00 — 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.36 — 67% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.50 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −1.38u −13% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
DUN – MOT @ 3.10
+2.2%
Edge
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