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Home › Scotland › Premiership › Kilmarnock — Heart Of Midlothian

Predictions by Market: Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian

Scotland   /   Premiership Value pick inside
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
Home · last 5 L D W D L
Kick-off
Sat 19 Sep · 16:45
1:1
Full-time
Heart Of Midlothian
Heart Of Midlothian
W W L D W Away · last 5
The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park · Kilmarnock Referee Duncan Nicolson

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · KIL
24%
Best 4.51
Draw
24%
Best 3.92
Away Win · HEA
53%
Best 1.73
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.30
Fair odds
2.10
book 2.30 · +9.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Medium
p 48% · EV +9.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (52%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 52.6%
Odds 1.68
Show model details
Implied probability 59.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 23.8%
Odds 4.60
Show model details
Implied probability 21.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 23.7%
Odds 3.92
Show model details
Implied probability 25.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 4 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 47.7%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 52.3%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 30.5%
Odds 2.62
Show model details
Implied probability 38.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5 Top pick
Probability 69.5%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 48.2%
Odds 2.19
Show model details
Implied probability 45.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51.8%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 47.4%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 76.3%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
KIL – HEA @ 2.30
+9.6%
Edge
Forecast →