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Home › Scotland › Premiership › Kilmarnock — Heart Of Midlothian

Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Scotland   /   Premiership Value pick inside
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
Home · last 5 L D W D L
Kick-off
Sat 19 Sep · 16:45
1:1
Full-time
Heart Of Midlothian
Heart Of Midlothian
W W L D W Away · last 5
The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park · Kilmarnock Referee Duncan Nicolson
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 48% · book 2.30 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 48% · book 2.19 ✗
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 47% · book 2.15 ✓
Total goals
2
1 · 1
Possession
33% – 67%
AI accuracy
6 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.30 — +9.6% better than the market.

Heart Of Midlothian arrive with strong momentum, boasting a solid recent run contrasting Kilmarnock's struggles. The away side's sharper attack and better form suggest they can control the game, though Kilmarnock's home resilience could limit the scoring. Expect a tactical battle with Hearts pressing high and Kilmarnock aiming to stay compact.

  • Hearts' recent winning streak vs Kilmarnock's poor form
  • Potential for a tight scoreline given defensive setups
  • Moderate pace hinted by odds favors controlled play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.30 ✓ Cashed
AI 48% Implied 43% +1.30u
+130%
ROI on stake

Statistics

KIL 1 – 1 HEA
33%
Possession (%)
67%
4
Total Shots
17
0
Shots on Target
3
1
Shots off Target
8
4
Shots Inside Box
11
2
Corner Kicks
6
13
Fouls
17
2
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
0

Match recap

Kilmarnock and Heart Of Midlothian drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 67% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 4, 3 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 6 landed and 5 missed, for a net +1.74 units (Brier 0.222).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 6 W · 5 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.30 — 48% Cashed +1.30 Cashed
BTTS No 2.19 — 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 2.15 — 47% Cashed +1.15 Cashed
Away Win 1.68 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.67 — 52% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.62 — 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.62 — 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.50 — 70% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Home Win 4.60 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.20 — 76% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Draw 3.92 — 24% Cashed +2.92 Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 6 W · 5 L +1.74u +16% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
KIL – HEA @ 2.30
+9.6%
Edge
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