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Home › Scotland › Premiership › Hibernian — Aberdeen

Hibernian vs Aberdeen 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Scotland   /   Premiership Value pick inside
Hibernian
Hibernian
Home · last 5 L L L D L
Kick-off
Sat 19 Sep · 14:00
1:1
Full-time
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
L L D W D Away · last 5
Easter Road · Edinburgh
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 55% · book 2.10 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 55% · book 2.09 ✗
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 51% · book 2.00 ✓
Total goals
2
1 · 1
Possession
52% – 48%
AI accuracy
6 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.09 — +14.3% better than the market.

Hibernian and Aberdeen face off in a match likely to lean towards a cautious tempo, as recent form and xG suggest a tight contest. Hibernian's home momentum is tempered by inconsistent results, while Aberdeen shows signs of resilience with a slightly better recent points rate. The tactical battle may hinge on defensive solidity and set-piece threats rather than open attacking flair.

  • Both sides have shown defensive discipline recently.
  • Modest attacking output hints at fewer clear chances.
  • Under 2.5 goals looks a reasonable expectation given the pace.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 2.09 ✗ Lost
AI 55% Implied 48% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

HIB 1 – 1 ABE
52%
Possession (%)
48%
12
Total Shots
9
2
Shots on Target
2
3
Shots off Target
6
8
Shots Inside Box
3
6
Corner Kicks
9
2
Offsides
3
12
Fouls
11
2
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

Hibernian and Aberdeen drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.

From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 9 to 6. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 6 landed and 5 missed, for a net +1.21 units (Brier 0.211).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 6 W · 5 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.10 — 55% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
BTTS No 2.09 — 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.00 — 51% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
Home Win 1.78 — 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.73 — 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.70 — 45% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.75 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.44 — 75% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Away Win 4.22 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.22 — 73% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Draw 3.75 — 25% Cashed +2.75 Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 6 W · 5 L +1.21u +11% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS No
HIB – ABE @ 2.09
+14.3%
Edge
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