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Home › Scotland › Premiership › ST Mirren — Celtic

ST Mirren vs Celtic 1:2: Match Review & Stats

Scotland   /   Premiership Value pick inside
ST Mirren
ST Mirren
Home · last 5 W L L L L
Kick-off
Sat 05 Sep · 19:00
1:2
Full-time
Celtic
Celtic
W W W L W Away · last 5
The SMiSA Stadium · Paisley
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 53% · book 2.38 ✗
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 63% · book 1.80 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 37% · book 1.95 ✗
Total goals
3
1 · 2
Possession
40% – 60%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 3.00 — +14.9% better than the market.

Celtic enter this clash with strong momentum, boasting a perfect recent run and a potent attack that outshines ST Mirren's defense. Despite ST Mirren's decent home form, Celtic's clinical finishing and higher expected goals suggest they hold the upper hand. The match hints at a lively pace with over 2.5 goals likely, reflecting both sides' attacking intent.

  • Celtic's winning streak and goal threat
  • ST Mirren's solid but tested home resilience
  • Potential for open play and multiple goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X @ 3.00 ✗ Lost
AI 38% Implied 33% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

MIR 1 – 2 CEL
40%
Possession (%)
60%
19
Total Shots
23
6
Shots on Target
8
6
Shots off Target
10
8
Shots Inside Box
20
6
Corner Kicks
10
0
Offsides
2
6
Fouls
15
2
Yellow Cards
1
5
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match recap

Celtic won 2–1 away at ST Mirren. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 60% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 23 shots to 19, 8 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 10 to 6. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -3.58 units (Brier 0.125).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 2.38 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.80 — 63% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
BTTS No 1.95 — 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.38 — 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.57 — 72% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 3.00 — 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 8.00 — 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 1.40 — 62% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.08 — 83% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.57 — 47% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Draw 4.60 — 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −3.58u −33% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
MIR – CEL @ 3.00
+14.9%
Edge
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