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Home › Scotland › Premiership › Heart Of Midlothian — ST Johnstone

Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Johnstone 2:1: Match Review & Stats

Scotland   /   Premiership Value pick inside
Heart Of Midlothian
Heart Of Midlothian
Home · last 5 W W L D W
Kick-off
Sat 29 Aug · 14:00
2:1
Full-time
ST Johnstone
ST Johnstone
L D W L D Away · last 5
Tynecastle Park · Edinburgh Referee R. Lee
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 62% · book 1.80 ✓
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 63% · book 1.80 ✓
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 46% · book 2.25 ✗
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.71 – 1.16
Δ +0.55
Possession
47% – 53%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.80 — +13.4% better than the market.

Heart Of Midlothian shows strong home momentum with a perfect recent record, while ST Johnstone has been less consistent on the road. The home side’s attacking potential likely challenges the away defense, suggesting a lively match at Tynecastle Park. Expect open play with both teams finding chances, supported by odds favoring goals and BTTS.

  • Home momentum and form edge
  • Attacking threat vs defensive resilience
  • Moderate pace hinting at goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5
Over 2.5 @ 1.80 ✓ Cashed
AI 63% Implied 56% +0.80u
+80%
ROI on stake

Statistics

HEA 2 – 1 JOH
47%
Possession (%)
53%
1.71
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.16
16
Total Shots
9
7
Shots on Target
4
7
Shots off Target
3
9
Shots Inside Box
8
8
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
1
11
Fouls
14
81%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
3
Goalkeeper Saves
7

Match recap

Heart Of Midlothian beat ST Johnstone 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.71 to 1.16. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 9, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 4. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -3.08 units (Brier 0.136).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 1.80 — 62% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.80 — 63% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.25 — 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.74 — 54% Cashed +0.74 Cashed
BTTS No 2.00 — 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.00 — 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.00 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.00 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.18 — 78% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.40 — 57% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Draw 4.00 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −3.08u −28% ROI
Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
HEA – JOH @ 1.80
+13.4%
Edge
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