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Aberdeen vs Rangers 0:1: Match Review & Stats

Scotland   /   Premiership Value pick inside
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
Home · last 5 L L D W D
Kick-off
Sun 30 Aug · 11:00
0:1
Full-time
Rangers
Rangers
W W W W W Away · last 5
Pittodrie Stadium · Aberdeen Referee M. MacDermid
Miss
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 51% · book 2.25 ✗
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 43% · book 2.50 ✗
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 64% · book 1.62 ✗
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
0.45 – 1.84
Δ −1.39
Possession
44% – 56%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 2.25 — +14.4% better than the market.

Aberdeen arrives with strong home momentum after a recent win, contrasting with Rangers' mixed form. The home side's higher points per game and recent attacking output suggest they can press effectively at Pittodrie Stadium. Rangers may struggle to contain Aberdeen's forward thrusts, especially given their lower recent scoring trend.

  • Aberdeen's home confidence and recent win boost morale.
  • Rangers' defense may face pressure from a lively Aberdeen attack.
  • Match likely to see open play with a moderate goal pace favored by odds.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X @ 2.25 ✗ Lost
AI 51% Implied 44% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

ABE 0 – 1 RAN
44%
Possession (%)
56%
0.45
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.84
10
Total Shots
18
2
Shots on Target
5
4
Shots off Target
8
5
Shots Inside Box
8
6
Corner Kicks
6
4
Offsides
2
21
Fouls
15
75%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
6
Yellow Cards
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

Rangers won 1–0 away at Aberdeen. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 56% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.84 to 0.45. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 10, 5 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 9 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -2.10 units (Brier 0.243).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X 2.25 — 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.50 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.62 — 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.65 — 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.30 — 36% Cashed +1.30 Cashed
BTTS No 2.20 — 38% Cashed +1.20 Cashed
Away Win 1.67 — 49% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
Home Win 5.00 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.20 — 73% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.53 — 57% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Draw 3.98 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −2.10u −19% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
ABE – RAN @ 2.25
+14.4%
Edge
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