Celtic vs Falkirk 2:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Draw at 6.50 — +9.5% better than the market.

Celtic enter this Premiership clash with clear home momentum, boasting a perfect recent record and strong expected goals advantage. Their attacking edge against Falkirk's defense suggests they will control the tempo and create multiple chances. Falkirk's recent form shows signs of struggle, and their away challenges at Celtic Park are historically tough.

Home side's pressing and set-piece threat likely to trouble visitors
Falkirk's defense under pressure from Celtic's dynamic offense
Match pace expected to favor a proactive Celtic attack

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Draw

Draw @ 6.50 ✗ Lost

AI 17% Implied 15% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

CEL 4-2-3-1 · FAL 4-2-3-1

CEL · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · FAL

21 Oxlade-Chamberlain

11 Durán

Statistics

CEL 2 – 1 FAL

56%

Possession (%)

44%

2.87

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.53

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

90%

Pass Accuracy (%)

85%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Celtic beat Falkirk 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 56% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.87 to 0.53. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 5, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -3.57 units (Brier 0.137).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.95	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.00	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.86	—	48%	Cashed	+0.86	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.91	—	46%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Away Win	13.00	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	4.33	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	6.50	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.40	—	72%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.05	—	88%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Home Win	1.21	—	71%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
Under 2.5	3.00	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	−3.57u	−32% ROI

Celtic vs Falkirk 2:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled