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Home Scotland Premiership ST Johnstone — Celtic

Preview ST Johnstone vs Celtic September 9, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Scotland   /   Premiership Value pick inside
ST Johnstone
ST Johnstone
Home · last 5 W L L D W
Kick-off
Wed 09 Sep · 19:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Celtic
Celtic
W W W W W Away · last 5
McDiarmid Park · Perth
Home Win · JOH
23%
Best 6.50
Draw
22%
Best 5.00
Away Win · CEL
56%
Best 1.45

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward Over 2.5 goals — 74% probability.

Also rated highly: both teams to score 67%, Celtic to win 56%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Celtic arrive at McDiarmid Park on a strong winning streak, showcasing impressive attacking form. Despite ST Johnstone's recent mixed results, their home momentum and resilience could challenge the visitors. The match hints at a lively pace, with both sides likely to create chances given the high probability of goals.

  • Celtic's consistent form and offensive edge
  • ST Johnstone's home grit and potential counterattacks
  • Expect an open game with goal-scoring opportunities for both teams

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 56% Celtic win
Over/Under 2.5 74% Over 2.5
BTTS 67% Yes
Double Chance 77% X2
  • 1X2 Celtic win 56%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 74%
  • BTTS Yes 67%
  • Double Chance X2 77%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
ST Johnstone
W/D/L 2-1-2
Goals (for / against) 8 / 8
Avg goals / match 3.2
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-0
Away (W-D-L) 0-1-2
xG (for / against) 1.40 / 1.28
Celtic
W/D/L 4-0-1
Goals (for / against) 11 / 7
Avg goals / match 3.6
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 5/5
Home (W-D-L) 3-0-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-1
xG (for / against) 2.87 / 0.53

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1.60
Goals Scored
2.60
1.60
Goals Conceded
0.60
0.84
Expected Goals (xG)
2.21
3.60
Shots on Target
9.60
3.80
Corners
9.40
53.40
Possession (%)
61.20
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
67
OFF · home
92
75
DEF · home
92
33
OFF · away
92
67
DEF · away
83
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

ST Johnstone wins when scoring first
Celtic wins when scoring first
ST Johnstone BTTS rate · last 5
80%
Celtic BTTS rate · last 10
70%
ST Johnstone Over 2.5 · last 5
60%
Celtic Over 2.5 · last 10
90%
ST Johnstone comeback rate · last 5
0%
Celtic comeback rate · last 10
100%

🔥 Goal timing

Celtic · last 1 away

0–15 0%
16–30 0%
31–45 0%
46–60 100%
61–75 0%
76–90 0%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.

Top scorers

J. Fowler
JOH · Attacker
4 G · 1.10 g/90
K. Fotheringham
JOH · Attacker
1 G
B. Nygren
CEL · Midfielder
3 G · 0.68 g/90
K. Høgh
CEL · Attacker
3 G · 1.53 g/90