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Home Scotland Premiership Motherwell — Aberdeen

Predictions Motherwell vs Aberdeen September 15, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Scotland   /   Premiership Value pick inside
Motherwell
Motherwell
Home · last 5 W D D W L
Kick-off
Tue 15 Sep · 18:45
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
W L L L D Away · last 5
Fir Park · Motherwell
Home Win · MOT
42%
Best 1.83
Draw
27%
Best 3.80
Away Win · ABE
31%
Best 4.50
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 1.97
Fair odds
1.81
book 1.97 · +8.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
Pick confidence
High
p 55% · EV +8.5%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 42%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 30.8%
Odds 3.42
Show model details
Implied probability 29.2%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 27.2%
Odds 3.42
Show model details
Implied probability 29.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 4 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 55.1%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 44.9%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 24.4%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5 Best in group
Probability 75.6%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 49.2%
Odds 2.11
Show model details
Implied probability 47.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 58%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 69.2%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
MOT – ABE @ 1.97
+8.5%
Edge
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