Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin 3:1: Match Review & Stats
Kick-off
Sat 10 Oct · 12:45
3:1
Full-time
Marshal Józef Piłsudski Stadium · Krakow
Referee Tomasz Marciniak
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 58% · book 1.86
✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 57% · book 1.86
✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 51% · book 2.00
✗
xG (open play)
3.01 – 1.13
Δ +1.88
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed
Model verdict
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.86 — +7.6% better than the market.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 1.86
✗ Lost
AI 58%
Implied 54%
−1.00u
⛀ Lineups
CRA 4-2-3-1 · ZAG 5-4-1
📊 Statistics
CRA 3
– 1 ZAG
3.01
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
1.13
Match recap
Cracovia Krakow beat Zaglebie Lubin 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–1.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 59% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.01 to 1.13. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 1. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -0.69 units (Brier 0.300).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
11 · 5 W · 6 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Double Chance X2 |
1.86 |
— |
58% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 2.5 |
1.86 |
— |
57% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS No |
2.00 |
— |
51% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.80 |
— |
49% |
Cashed |
+0.80 |
Cashed
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.95 |
— |
43% |
Cashed |
+0.95 |
Cashed
|
| Home Win |
1.91 |
— |
42% |
Cashed |
+0.91 |
Cashed
|
| Away Win |
3.90 |
— |
33% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.25 |
— |
67% |
Cashed |
+0.25 |
Cashed
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.30 |
— |
77% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Draw |
3.56 |
— |
25% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 3.5 |
3.40 |
— |
23% |
Cashed |
+2.40 |
Cashed
|
| Total · 11 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
5 W · 6 L |
−0.69u |
−6% ROI |