P
Prognosist
P
Home › Poland › Ekstraklasa › Cracovia Krakow — Zaglebie Lubin

Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin 3:1: Match Review & Stats

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Cracovia Krakow
Cracovia Krakow
Home · last 5 L L L L W
Kick-off
Sat 10 Oct · 12:45
3:1
Full-time
Zaglebie Lubin
Zaglebie Lubin
D W W L L Away · last 5
Marshal Józef Piłsudski Stadium · Krakow Referee Tomasz Marciniak
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 58% · book 1.86 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 57% · book 1.86 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 51% · book 2.00 ✗
Total goals
4
3 · 1
xG (open play)
3.01 – 1.13
Δ +1.88
Possession
59% – 41%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.86 — +7.6% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 1.86 ✗ Lost
AI 58% Implied 54% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

CRA 3 – 1 ZAG
59%
Possession (%)
41%
3.01
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.13
16
Total Shots
16
6
Shots on Target
6
4
Shots off Target
9
8
Shots Inside Box
11
5
Corner Kicks
1
1
Offsides
0
14
Fouls
14
2
Yellow Cards
3
5
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match recap

Cracovia Krakow beat Zaglebie Lubin 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 59% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.01 to 1.13. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 1. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -0.69 units (Brier 0.300).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.86 — 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.86 — 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.00 — 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.80 — 49% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.95 — 43% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
Home Win 1.91 — 42% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
Away Win 3.90 — 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.25 — 67% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.30 — 77% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.56 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.40 — 23% Cashed +2.40 Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −0.69u −6% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
CRA – ZAG @ 1.86
+7.6%
Edge
Forecast →