Slask Wroclaw vs Lech Poznan 1:4: Match Review & Stats
Kick-off
Sat 10 Oct · 15:30
1:4
Full-time
Stadion Śląska Wrocław · Wroclaw
Referee Patryk Gryckiewicz
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 45% · book 2.50
✗
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 66% · book 1.62
✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 44% · book 2.35
✗
xG (open play)
0.76 – 2.06
Δ −1.30
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed
Model verdict
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.50 — +11.4% better than the market.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.50
✗ Lost
AI 45%
Implied 40%
−1.00u
⛀ Lineups
SLA 3-4-1-2 · LEC 4-4-2
📊 Statistics
SLA 1
– 4 LEC
0.76
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
2.06
Match recap
Lech Poznan won 4–1 away at Slask Wroclaw. At half-time it was 0–1.
In possession, the visitors ran the game with 60% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.06 to 0.76. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 7, 5 on target. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 4 from 2.06 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -2.97 units (Brier 0.179).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
11 · 5 W · 6 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.50 |
— |
45% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.62 |
— |
66% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS No |
2.35 |
— |
44% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance 1X |
2.40 |
— |
35% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 3.5 |
2.20 |
— |
35% |
Cashed |
+1.20 |
Cashed
|
| Away Win |
1.58 |
— |
65% |
Cashed |
+0.58 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance X2 |
1.18 |
— |
86% |
Cashed |
+0.18 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.57 |
— |
56% |
Cashed |
+0.57 |
Cashed
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.50 |
— |
55% |
Cashed |
+0.50 |
Cashed
|
| Draw |
4.33 |
— |
21% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Home Win |
5.00 |
— |
14% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Total · 11 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
5 W · 6 L |
−2.97u |
−27% ROI |
