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Home › Poland › Ekstraklasa › Lech Poznan — Radomiak Radom

Lech Poznan vs Radomiak Radom 5:1: Match Review & Stats

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan
Home · last 5 W W L W W
Kick-off
Sun 20 Sep · 18:15
5:1
Full-time
Radomiak Radom
Radomiak Radom
D W D L L Away · last 5
Stadion Miejski · Poznan Referee Jaroslaw Przybyl
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 55% · book 2.11 ✗
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 63% · book 1.80 ✗
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 45% · book 1.75 ✓
Total goals
6
5 · 1
Possession
62% – 38%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.80 — +12.7% better than the market.

Lech Poznan enters this clash with strong home momentum, boasting a solid recent run and a clear quality edge over Radomiak Radom. Their potent attack faces a defense that has struggled, suggesting Lech can control the tempo and create chances. Radomiak’s form and away struggles hint at a compact block approach, but breaking through looks challenging.

  • Home side’s pressing and offensive firepower stand out.
  • Radomiak’s defensive resilience will be tested.
  • Match likely leans towards a controlled pace with fewer goals.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.80 ✗ Lost
AI 63% Implied 56% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

LEC 5 – 1 RAD
62%
Possession (%)
38%
26
Total Shots
12
9
Shots on Target
5
9
Shots off Target
5
15
Shots Inside Box
9
10
Corner Kicks
6
1
Offsides
1
8
Fouls
9
1
Yellow Cards
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match recap

Lech Poznan beat Radomiak Radom 5–1 at home. At half-time it was 3–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 62% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 26 shots to 12, 9 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 10 to 6. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -3.49 units (Brier 0.174).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.11 — 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.80 — 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.75 — 45% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.00 — 37% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.88 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.07 — 93% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Home Win 1.29 — 76% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.40 — 57% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Draw 6.00 — 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 4.00 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 9.50 — 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −3.49u −32% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 3.5
LEC – RAD @ 1.80
+12.7%
Edge
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