Korona Kielce vs Raków Częstochowa 3:2

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.14 — +13.3% better than the market.

Korona Kielce holds a slight quality edge and benefits from a modest home advantage, suggesting they can control the tempo at Exbud Arena. Their defensive solidity contrasts with Raków's more potent attack, hinting at a tactical battle where Korona's compact block could frustrate the visitors. Recent form favors Korona, who have shown resilience and points momentum, while Raków struggles to find consistency.

Home defensive strength vs away offensive threat
Korona's better recent form and home momentum
Likely moderate pace with tactical caution

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 2.14 ✗ Lost

AI 53% Implied 47% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

KOR 4-5-1 · RAK 3-4-3

KOR · 4-5-1 3-4-3 · RAK

14 Stępiński

Statistics

KOR 3 – 2 RAK

42%

Possession (%)

58%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Korona Kielce beat Raków Częstochowa 3–2 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 58% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 23 shots to 19, 11 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -0.81 units (Brier 0.279).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.98	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.14	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.06	—	53%	Cashed	+1.06	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.70	—	47%	Cashed	+0.70	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.68	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.85	—	42%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.35	—	78%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.33	—	77%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Draw	3.60	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.32	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.25	—	22%	Cashed	+2.25	Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	−0.81u	−7% ROI

Korona Kielce vs Raków Częstochowa 3:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled