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Home Poland Ekstraklasa Motor Lublin — Piast Gliwice

Preview Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice August 29, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin
Home · last 5 D L L W D
Kick-off
Sat 29 Aug · 12:45
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Piast Gliwice
Piast Gliwice
L W L L D Away · last 5
Motor Lublin Arena · Lublin
Home Win · MOT
43%
Best 2.31
Draw
25%
Best 3.70
Away Win · PIA
33%
Best 2.78

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward both teams to score — 60% probability.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Motor Lublin shows a slight home momentum with better recent form and higher expected goals, suggesting they can press their advantage at Motor Lublin Arena. Their more consistent point accumulation hints at a compact block and effective transitions.

  • Home side's recent form outpaces Piast's, indicating sharper match rhythm.
  • Piast's defensive resilience may limit scoring chances but their attack struggles to break down opponents.
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play over frantic pressing.

Expect a tactical battle where Motor Lublin's home edge and attacking intent could tilt the balance, though Piast's resilience keeps the outcome open.

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 43% Motor Lublin win
BTTS 60% Yes
Double Chance 67% 1X
  • 1X2 Motor Lublin win 43%
  • BTTS Yes 60%
  • Double Chance 1X 67%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Motor Lublin
W/D/L 1-2-2
Goals (for / against) 6 / 8
Avg goals / match 2.8
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 0-2-1
xG (for / against) 1.54 / 1.52
Piast Gliwice
W/D/L 1-1-3
Goals (for / against) 8 / 13
Avg goals / match 4.2
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-1-1
Away (W-D-L) 0-0-2
xG (for / against) 1.16 / 2.04

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1.20
Goals Scored
1.60
1.60
Goals Conceded
2.60
1.54
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
4.60
Shots on Target
3.20
3.80
Corners
4.40
46.20
Possession (%)
44.80
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
94
OFF · home
72
67
DEF · home
6
17
OFF · away
6
44
DEF · away
39
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Motor Lublin wins when scoring first
Piast Gliwice wins when scoring first
Motor Lublin BTTS rate · last 10
50%
Piast Gliwice BTTS rate · last 10
70%
Motor Lublin Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
Piast Gliwice Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
Motor Lublin comeback rate · last 10
0%
Piast Gliwice comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Motor Lublin · last 4 at home

0–15 20%
16–30 0%
31–45 0%
46–60 40%
61–75 0%
76–90 40%

Piast Gliwice · last 4 away

0–15 0%
16–30 50%
31–45 0%
46–60 50%
61–75 0%
76–90 0%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.

Top scorers

K. Czubak
MOT · Attacker
3 G · 0.60 g/90
M. Ndiaye
MOT · Attacker
1 G · 0.21 g/90
Leandro Sanca
PIA · Midfielder
3 G · 1.50 g/90
Hugo Vallejo
PIA · Attacker
1 G · 0.48 g/90