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Home Poland Ekstraklasa Raków Częstochowa — Jagiellonia

Preview Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia August 30, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Raków Częstochowa
Raków Częstochowa
Home · last 5 L L L
Kick-off
Sun 30 Aug · 12:45
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Jagiellonia
Jagiellonia
W W L Away · last 5
Home Win · RAK
44%
Best 2.01
Draw
25%
Best 3.70
Away Win · JAG
31%
Best 3.30

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward both teams to score — 55% probability.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Raków Częstochowa faces a tough challenge against Jagiellonia, who show better recent form with two wins in their last three. Raków’s struggles at home and lack of momentum contrast with Jagiellonia’s sharper attack and more consistent performances. Expect a cautious game with Jagiellonia likely to press for control, exploiting Raków’s defensive vulnerabilities.

  • Jagiellonia’s recent form edge offers confidence
  • Raków’s home woes may limit attacking threat
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring tactical discipline

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 44% Raków Częstochowa win
BTTS 55% Yes
Double Chance 69% 1X
  • 1X2 Raków Częstochowa win 44%
  • BTTS Yes 55%
  • Double Chance 1X 69%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Raków Częstochowa
W/D/L 2-0-3
Goals (for / against) 9 / 7
Avg goals / match 3.2
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 5/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-2
xG (for / against) 1.33 / 1.80
Jagiellonia
W/D/L 3-1-1
Goals (for / against) 9 / 5
Avg goals / match 2.8
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-0
xG (for / against) 1.01 / 1.56

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1
Goals Scored
1
2
Goals Conceded
1
1.77
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
3.67
Shots on Target
4.33
5
Corners
4.33
55
Possession (%)
59
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
28
OFF · home
17
89
DEF · home
78
78
OFF · away
11
17
DEF · away
33
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Raków Częstochowa wins when scoring first
Jagiellonia wins when scoring first
Raków Częstochowa BTTS rate · last 10
70%
Jagiellonia BTTS rate · last 10
50%
Raków Częstochowa Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
Jagiellonia Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
Raków Częstochowa comeback rate · last 10
0%
Jagiellonia comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Raków Częstochowa · last 4 at home

0–15 0%
16–30 25%
31–45 25%
46–60 0%
61–75 50%
76–90 0%

Jagiellonia · last 5 away

0–15 0%
16–30 0%
31–45 33%
46–60 33%
61–75 17%
76–90 17%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.

Top scorers

P. Makuch
RAK · Attacker
2 G · 0.75 g/90
M. Emreli
RAK · Attacker
1 G · 0.41 g/90
N. Prelec
JAG · Attacker
2 G · 1.40 g/90
Sergio Lozano
JAG · Midfielder
1 G · 0.71 g/90