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Home › Poland › Ekstraklasa › Wisla Plock — Korona Kielce

Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce 0:2: Match Review & Stats

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Wisla Plock
Wisla Plock
Home · last 5 L D W W L
Kick-off
Fri 28 Aug · 16:00
0:2
Full-time
Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce
W D W L W Away · last 5
Referee W. Myc
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 37% · book 2.75 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 48% · book 2.00 ✓
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 53% · book 1.80 ✓
Total goals
2
0 · 2
xG (open play)
2.25 – 0.92
Δ +1.33
Possession
58% – 42%
AI accuracy
4 / 9
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 2.75 — +0.5% better than the market.

Wisla Plock and Korona Kielce meet with similar recent form, both showing mixed results but slight home momentum for Wisla. The teams have balanced head-to-head clashes, suggesting a tight contest. Expect a compact game with moderate pace, as odds hint at a cautious approach and a likely under 2.5 goals scenario.

  • Home side holds a slight edge in recent points per game.
  • Both teams show resilience but limited offensive firepower.
  • Previous meetings suggest a tactical, low-scoring battle.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 2.75 ✗ Lost
AI 37% Implied 36% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

WIS 0 – 2 KOR
58%
Possession (%)
42%
2.25
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.92
18
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
8
Shots off Target
5
16
Shots Inside Box
7
10
Corner Kicks
0
0
Offsides
1
17
Fouls
14
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
1
Yellow Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match recap

Korona Kielce won 2–0 away at Wisla Plock. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 58% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.25 to 0.92. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 10, 4 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 10 to 0. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 9 graded markets, 4 landed and 5 missed, for a net -1.26 units (Brier 0.235).

Bet recap · markets settled

9 · 4 W · 5 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.75 — 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.00 — 48% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.80 — 53% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.01 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.50 — 37% Cashed +1.50 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.75 — 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.53 — 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.44 — 63% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Draw 3.40 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 9 markets @ 1u each — — — 4 W · 5 L −1.26u −14% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
WIS – KOR @ 2.75
+0.5%
Edge
Forecast →