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Home Poland Ekstraklasa Wisla Plock — Korona Kielce

Preview Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce August 28, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Wisla Plock
Wisla Plock
Home · last 5 W D L L
Kick-off
Fri 28 Aug · 16:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce
L D W D Away · last 5
Home Win · WIS
37%
Best 2.75
Draw
27%
Best 3.40
Away Win · KOR
37%
Best 2.50

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward Under 2.5 goals — 53% probability.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Wisla Plock and Korona Kielce meet with similar recent form, both showing mixed results but slight home momentum for Wisla. The teams have balanced head-to-head clashes, suggesting a tight contest. Expect a compact game with moderate pace, as odds hint at a cautious approach and a likely under 2.5 goals scenario.

  • Home side holds a slight edge in recent points per game.
  • Both teams show resilience but limited offensive firepower.
  • Previous meetings suggest a tactical, low-scoring battle.

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 37% Korona Kielce win
Over/Under 2.5 53% Under 2.5
BTTS 52% Yes
Double Chance 63% X2
  • 1X2 Korona Kielce win 37%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 53%
  • BTTS Yes 52%
  • Double Chance X2 63%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Wisla Plock
W/D/L 1-2-2
Goals (for / against) 5 / 10
Avg goals / match 3.0
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-2
xG (for / against) 1.78 / 1.83
Korona Kielce
W/D/L 1-3-1
Goals (for / against) 5 / 5
Avg goals / match 2.0
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 1/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-2-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-1
xG (for / against) 0.63 / 0.94

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
0.75
Goals Scored
1
2
Goals Conceded
1
1.42
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
4.25
Shots on Target
1.75
7.50
Corners
4
51
Possession (%)
39.50
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
50
OFF · home
6
22
DEF · home
100
56
OFF · away
50
22
DEF · away
83
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Wisla Plock wins when scoring first
Korona Kielce wins when scoring first
Wisla Plock BTTS rate · last 10
40%
Korona Kielce BTTS rate · last 10
60%
Wisla Plock Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
Korona Kielce Over 2.5 · last 10
10%
Wisla Plock comeback rate · last 10
0%
Korona Kielce comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Wisla Plock · last 6 at home

0–15 15%
16–30 0%
31–45 43%
46–60 15%
61–75 0%
76–90 28%

Korona Kielce · last 5 away

0–15 17%
16–30 0%
31–45 0%
46–60 33%
61–75 50%
76–90 0%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.

Top scorers

M. Flis
WIS · Defender
1 G · 0.40 g/90
Ž. Rogelj
WIS · Midfielder
1 G · 0.33 g/90
M. Faßbender
KOR · Attacker
2 G · 0.65 g/90
M. Stępiński
KOR · Attacker
2 G · 0.56 g/90