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Home › Poland › Ekstraklasa › Korona Kielce — Motor Lublin

Korona Kielce vs Motor Lublin 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce
Home · last 5 W D W L W
Kick-off
Sat 22 Aug · 12:45
1:1
Full-time
Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin
D L L L D Away · last 5
Suzuki Arena · Kielce Referee Damian Sylwestrzak, Poland
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 53% · book 2.05 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 49% · book 2.17 ✗
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 54% · book 1.83 ✓
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
0.88 – 0.68
Δ +0.20
Possession
59% – 41%
AI accuracy
6 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.05 — +9.3% better than the market.

Korona Kielce hosts Motor Lublin in a clash where recent form and historical results hint at a tight contest. Korona’s home momentum and previous clean sheets against Motor suggest a disciplined defensive setup. Motor’s recent struggles and less consistent form may limit their attacking threat, favoring a compact game with few clear chances.

  • Home side’s solid defensive shape
  • Motor’s inconsistent away form
  • Moderate pace expected with under 2.5 goals likely

Expect a tactical battle with Korona’s home edge nudging the balance. The match could lean towards a low-scoring affair, reflecting cautious approaches from both sides.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.05 ✓ Cashed
AI 53% Implied 49% +1.05u
+105%
ROI on stake

Statistics

KOR 1 – 1 MOT
59%
Possession (%)
41%
0.88
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.68
16
Total Shots
11
3
Shots on Target
2
6
Shots off Target
4
9
Shots Inside Box
5
4
Corner Kicks
4
0
Offsides
2
16
Fouls
14
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
78%
4
Yellow Cards
4
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

Korona Kielce and Motor Lublin drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 59% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 11, 3 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 8 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 6 landed and 5 missed, for a net +0.91 units (Brier 0.202).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 6 W · 5 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.05 — 53% Cashed +1.05 Cashed
BTTS No 2.17 — 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.83 — 54% Cashed +0.83 Cashed
Home Win 1.95 — 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.67 — 51% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.80 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.75 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.70 — 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.40 — 73% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.26 — 71% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Draw 3.70 — 25% Cashed +2.70 Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 6 W · 5 L +0.91u +8% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
KOR – MOT @ 2.05
+9.3%
Edge
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