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Home Poland Ekstraklasa Raków Częstochowa — Zaglebie Lubin

Preview Raków Częstochowa vs Zaglebie Lubin September 15, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Raków Częstochowa
Raków Częstochowa
Home · last 5 L L L L W
Kick-off
Tue 15 Sep · 16:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Zaglebie Lubin
Zaglebie Lubin
W D D D W Away · last 5
Home Win · RAK
53%
Best 1.83
Draw
23%
Best 3.75
Away Win · ZAG
24%
Best 4.20

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward Raków Częstochowa to win — 53% probability.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Raków Częstochowa faces a tricky test against Zaglebie Lubin who arrive with better recent form and momentum. Raków’s slow start and lack of points contrast with Lubin’s positive results, suggesting the visitors hold a pressing edge. The home side’s attack has shown signs of struggle, while Lubin’s defense has been relatively solid, hinting at a compact away block. Expect a cautious pace with chances on set-pieces and counterattacks.

  • Lubin’s recent form and away resilience
  • Raków’s early season struggles
  • Potential low-tempo tactical battle

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 53% Raków Częstochowa win
BTTS 52% Yes
Double Chance 76% 1X
  • 1X2 Raków Częstochowa win 53%
  • BTTS Yes 52%
  • Double Chance 1X 76%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Raków Częstochowa
W/D/L 1-0-4
Goals (for / against) 6 / 11
Avg goals / match 3.4
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-2
Away (W-D-L) 0-0-2
xG (for / against) 1.05 / 3.59
Zaglebie Lubin
W/D/L 2-3-0
Goals (for / against) 5 / 3
Avg goals / match 1.6
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 0-2-0
xG (for / against) 1.25 / 0.66

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1.14
Goals Scored
1.14
2.14
Goals Conceded
0.86
1.02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
3.29
Shots on Target
3
4.29
Corners
2.86
44.43
Possession (%)
35.71
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
33
OFF · home
61
6
DEF · home
89
39
OFF · away
22
33
DEF · away
94
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Raków Częstochowa wins when scoring first
Zaglebie Lubin wins when scoring first
Raków Częstochowa BTTS rate · last 10
70%
Zaglebie Lubin BTTS rate · last 10
40%
Raków Częstochowa Over 2.5 · last 10
80%
Zaglebie Lubin Over 2.5 · last 10
30%
Raków Częstochowa comeback rate · last 10
0%
Zaglebie Lubin comeback rate · last 10
50%

🔥 Goal timing

Raków Częstochowa · last 4 at home

0–15 0%
16–30 25%
31–45 25%
46–60 0%
61–75 50%
76–90 0%

Zaglebie Lubin · last 4 away

0–15 40%
16–30 20%
31–45 20%
46–60 0%
61–75 20%
76–90 0%
First-half-heavy — over half the goals before the break.

Top scorers

P. Makuch
RAK · Attacker
4 G · 0.61 g/90
M. Emreli
RAK · Attacker
3 G · 0.47 g/90
J. Sypek
ZAG · Midfielder
1 G
M. Reguła
ZAG · Attacker
1 G