Match Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze April 24, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.00 — +8.6% better than the market.

Jagiellonia holds a slight quality edge and benefits from a home momentum with a solid recent form. Their offensive strength matches well against Gornik Zabrze's defensive setup, suggesting chances to break through. Meanwhile, Gornik's defense looks vulnerable against Jagiellonia's pressing style, though their own attack can test the home backline occasionally. Expect a balanced tempo with moderate goal potential given the odds favoring under 2.5 goals.

Home side's attacking edge vs away defense
Recent form favors Jagiellonia's consistency
Moderate pace hints at controlled game flow

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.00 ✗ Lost

AI 54% Implied 50% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

JAG 4-2-3-1 · GOR 4-2-3-1

JAG · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · GOR

10 Pululu

📊 Statistics

JAG 1 – 2 GOR

61%

Possession (%)

39%

1.02

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.63

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

79%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Gornik Zabrze won 2–1 away at Jagiellonia. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 61% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.63 to 1.02. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 10, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.73 units (Brier 0.235).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.35	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.00	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.15	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.70	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.84	—	46%	Cashed	+0.84	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.65	—	50%	Cashed	+0.65	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.65	—	50%	Cashed	+0.65	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.17	—	23%	Cashed	+1.17	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.42	—	77%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.84	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.01	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	11.50	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.38	—	75%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.06	—	91%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Draw	3.50	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.27	—	71%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
Away Win	3.25	—	23%	Cashed	+2.25	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.73u	−16% ROI