P
Prognosist
P
Home › Turkey › Süper Lig › Çorum FK — Alanyaspor

Çorum FK vs Alanyaspor 1:2: Match Review & Stats

Turkey   /   Süper Lig Value pick inside
Çorum FK
Çorum FK
Home · last 5 L L W W L
Kick-off
Sat 19 Sep · 14:00
1:2
Full-time
Alanyaspor
Alanyaspor
L W D W D Away · last 5
Corum Stadyumu · Corum Referee A. Akarsu
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 53% · book 2.17 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 58% · book 1.75 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 52% · book 1.90 ✗
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
1.16 – 1.16
Δ +0.00
Possession
67% – 33%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.31 — +5.0% better than the market.

Çorum FK enters this Süper Lig clash with a clear quality edge and home momentum, reflected in their stronger adjusted strength and recent form. Their offensive edge against Alanyaspor’s leaky defense suggests they can create chances, while the home crowd should help maintain pressure. Alanyaspor’s compact defensive setup may limit goals, hinting at a moderately paced game with a tactical battle in midfield.

  • Home side’s attacking threat vs away defense
  • Moderate form gap favors Çorum FK
  • Likely a controlled tempo with fewer goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X @ 1.31 ✗ Lost
AI 80% Implied 76% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

COR 1 – 2 ALA
67%
Possession (%)
33%
1.16
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.16
12
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
5
4
Shots off Target
3
8
Shots Inside Box
6
3
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
0
20
Fouls
7
89%
Pass Accuracy (%)
79%
5
Yellow Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match recap

Alanyaspor won 2–1 away at Çorum FK. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 67% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 89% of their passes. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -0.21 units (Brier 0.295).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.17 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.75 — 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.90 — 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.25 — 42% Cashed +1.25 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.91 — 48% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.74 — 47% Cashed +0.74 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.31 — 80% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.22 — 78% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Draw 3.36 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.00 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.67 — 20% Cashed +2.67 Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −0.21u −2% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
COR – ALA @ 1.31
+5.0%
Edge
Forecast →